Case Study: How COVID 19 Triggered the Fastest Bear Market in History
In February 2020 global stock markets were at or near record highs. About a month later the S&P 500 had entered a bear market faster than ever before, Nifty had lost close to 40% of its value, trading on NSE and BSE had been halted by a lower circuit, and India was heading into one of the strictest lockdowns in the world. This case study walks through that crash from start to finish, in plain language. It starts with what made the 2020 fall unique and the state of India's economy and markets going in. It then follows the crash week by week: the first virus scare in late February, the oil price war, the lower circuit of 13 March, the lockdown and the 23 March bottom, and the foreign investor selling that pushed the rupee down. Next it explains the policy response: the US Federal Reserve's emergency actions, the RBI's rate cuts, liquidity measures and loan moratorium, and the Franklin Templeton debt fund shutdown that shook Indian mutual fund investors. It then covers the equally fast recovery, why markets rebounded long before the economy did, which sectors won and lost, and the surge of first-time investors opening demat accounts. It closes with practical lessons: what panic selling actually cost, and how to build a crash plan before the next one arrives.